H ere's where Tammy lies right now . Hurricane Tammy Governor ...
and where it's headed: Tammy's center is simply east of Guadeloupe as it approaches the northwest. Tammy has actually reinforced modestly because Friday night.
The storm reinforced into a cyclone on Friday early morning in the tropical Atlantic. This is an unusual place for a hurricane to form this late in the year, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University.
By early in the week ahead, Tammy ought to turn northward, then northeastward out to sea and not be a concern for the continental United States.
The path northward far from the Caribbean has actually ended up being less specific. Tammy was at first expected to be captured by a cold front by the middle of the upcoming week, but computer system guidance is now suggesting that the storm might drift around between Puerto Rico and Bermuda for some time.
Typhoon Katrina (August 2005) became a large and extremely powerful cyclone that triggered massive destruction and considerable loss of life. It is the costliest typhoon to ever strike the United States, surpassing the record previously held by Typhoon Andrew from 1992.
Cyclone Katrina - Wikipedia
The biggest death in Cyclone Katrina was due to flooding caused by engineering defects in the flood protection system, especially the levee around the city of New Orleans. Eventually, 80% of the city, along with large areas in surrounding parishes, were flooded for weeks.
Typhoon warnings have actually now been released for numerous islands in the northeast Caribbean. That suggests cyclone conditions are expected in a few of these areas. You can see the latest cautions and watches in the map below.
Heavy rainfall, strong winds and high surf from Tammy ought to spread across the eastern Caribbean islands through Saturday. Those effects will last through a minimum of early Sunday in some locations.
Rain totals could be 4 to 8 inches (locally up to 12 inches) in the Leeward Islands. The northern Windward Islands may see 2 to 4 inches of rain (locally as much as 6 inches). Parts of eastern Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands might see 1 to 2 inches of rains (locally approximately 4 inches).
T he heavy rainfall could cause flooding and mudslides in some of these areas.
Norma, now a Classification 1 storm as of 2 p.m. ET, is anticipated to move over or near parts of Mexico's Baja California Sur-- including Cabo San Lucas-- late Saturday afternoon or early evening, the National Cyclone Center stated.
Flying Force Reserve Typhoon Hunters observed Norma's center located offshore simply west of Cabo San Lucas on Saturday afternoon, and hurricane and conditions were happening over some locations of of southern Baja California Sur, according to the hurricane center.
Norma is anticipated to be slightly weaker by the time it hits land, but it still will be a hurricane that might bring deadly conditions to a tourist-friendly area that's home to a couple of hundred thousand people, the hurricane center said.
In the Atlantic Ocean, meanwhile, Cyclone Tammy-- a Category 1 storm since Saturday afternoon-- has actually triggered cyclone warnings for portions of the Leeward Islands, a chain of numerous island nations and territories between the Caribbean Sea and the open Atlantic. Tammy's winds picked up speed to 85 mph.
Neither storm is a risk to the United States.
In the Atlantic, Tammy preserved optimal continual winds of 85 mph and was focused about 25 miles north-northeast of Guadeloupe, the National Cyclone Center said at 2 p.m. ET.
The Category 1 cyclone lay about 50 miles southeast of Antigua by Saturday afternoon, the typhoon center stated.
Tammy is expected to move near or over portions of the Leeward Islands-- consisting of Guadeloupe and Antigua and Barbuda-- through Saturday night, and after that move north of the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday.
Hurricane-force winds extended external as much as 25 miles from the storm's center and tropical storm-force winds extended outward up to 125 miles.
Hurricanes in this part of the Atlantic are rare for late October. Tammy is just the 3rd cyclone to form this far southeast in the Atlantic since 1900, according to cyclone professional Michael Lowry.
It's likewise the latest-forming hurricane in this part of the Atlantic since 1966, according to Phil Klotzbach, a research scientist in the Department of Atmospheric Science at Colorado State University.
Hurricane specialists formerly cautioned hurricanes could form in unusual areas later on in the season this year because of the remarkably warm Atlantic Ocean.
A storm surge of 1 to 3 feet is possible for parts of the Leeward Islands.
Heavy rainfall will be among the storm's most severe risks and might result in flash flooding and mudslides. Rainfall totals for the Leeward Islands are anticipated to be 4 to 8 inches, but might reach a foot in places where the heaviest rain sets up. Rain must be lighter in Puerto Rico and the British and US Virgin Islands, where 1 to 2 inches of rain is probably.
Conditions will start to enhance from south to north across the island chain by late Sunday as the storm moves north out of the area.
With Tammy in the Atlantic, just two names are left-- Vince and Whitney-- on the standard Atlantic storm name list before the typhoon center turns to an alternate list of names.
Hurricane Tammy